Blue vs. Red Seat Distribution in the 2025 Canadian Federal Election

Summary of Results

• The Liberal Party (red) is projected to win the most seats and form the next government under Mark Carney, securing a fourth term.

• The Conservative Party (blue) is the main opposition, with a strong showing but not enough seats to form government.

• The New Democratic Party (NDP) suffered significant losses, losing official party status, and the Bloc Québécois and Green Party maintain smaller seat counts45.

Seat Count Breakdown (As of Latest Results)

Party	Seats (Elected + Leading)
Liberals (Red)	167–168
Conservatives (Blue)	145
Bloc Québécois	23
NDP	7
Greens	1

• A majority in the House of Commons requires 172 seats.

• The Liberals are projected to fall short of a majority, forming a minority government45.

Regional Highlights

• In Metro Vancouver, Liberals led in 17 of 24 ridings, Conservatives in 5, and NDP in 24.

• In British Columbia overall, the Liberals and Conservatives both gained seats at the expense of the NDP, which saw a dramatic decline4.

• Early results from Atlantic Canada showed some Conservative gains, but the Liberals held key seats4.

Visual Map and Riding Distribution

• Riding-by-riding maps show a Canada with significant regions of Liberal red, especially in urban centers and parts of British Columbia, and Conservative blue dominating much of rural and western Canada34.

• The Bloc Québécois retained a strong presence in Quebec, while the NDP’s presence diminished sharply4.

Conclusion

The 2025 federal election resulted in a House of Commons where red (Liberal) seats outnumber blue (Conservative) seats, but not by a margin sufficient for a majority government. The Liberals will govern with a minority, and the Conservatives remain the official opposition45. The NDP’s collapse reshaped the electoral map, leading to a more polarized red-versus-blue distribution than in recent elections.

Citations:

1. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4jd39g8y1o
2. https://toronto.citynews.ca/2025/04/28/federal-election-2025-results-from-key-ridings-across-the-country/
3. https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/federal_election/canadian-election-2025-results-riding-maps-graphics
4. https://vancouversun.com/news/federal_election/canada-federal-election-results-2025-live-results
5. https://toronto.citynews.ca/2025/04/28/canada-election-2025-mark-carney-liberal-party/
6. https://globalnews.ca/news/11154507/canada-election-2025-alberta-results/
7. https://enr.elections.ca/National.aspx?lang=e%27
8. https://www.ctvnews.ca/vancouver/article/collapse-of-ndp-leads-to-gains-for-conservatives-and-liberals-in-bc/
9. https://www.pembrokeobserver.com/news/federal-election-2025-live-results-map-20
10. https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/
11. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2025/4/28/canada-election-results-2025-live-first-polls-set-to-close-on-east-coast
12. https://electionsanddemocracy.ca/geography-elections-0/map-official-results-42nd-general-election
13. https://www.ctvnews.ca/federal-election-2025/article/elections-canada-pauses-vote-counting-with-majority-still-in-question/
14. https://financialpost.com/federal_election/liberals-election-live-reaction-analysis
15. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0mmq73k4kk
16. https://vancouversun.com/news/federal_election/canada-election-results-2025-riding-by-riding-map-of-the-vote
17. https://www.ctvnews.ca/federal-election-2025/article/wasted-votes-explaining-popular-support-vs-vote-efficiency-going-into-election-day/
18. https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2025-canada-election-results/
19. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_breakdown_of_the_2021_Canadian_federal_election

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