Friday, September 26, 2025

The sea of air around the northern half of the globe is getting less agile as temperature differences between north and south get smaller resulting in stalling weather systems and less precipitation

The reduction in temperature differences between the northern and southern parts of the globe, especially due to faster Arctic warming, is making the "sea of air"—the atmosphere—less agile, resulting in stalling weather systems and reduced precipitation in some areas.nature+2

Temperature Gradients and Jet Stream Weakening

The jet stream, a fast-moving river of air high in the atmosphere, is largely driven by the temperature difference between the cold polar regions and the warm tropics. As the Arctic warms more quickly than lower latitudes, this temperature difference shrinks, weakening the jet stream. A weaker jet stream moves more slowly and is prone to developing large, meandering waves (Rossby waves), which can cause weather systems to stall over the same region for longer periods.uphere+4

Weather System Stalling and Precipitation Changes

When the jet stream weakens, blocking patterns form more readily. These are stationary high- or low-pressure systems that "block" other weather from moving in, leading to prolonged periods of similar weather—such as extended drought, persistent rain, or heat waves—rather than the regular alternation expected in a more dynamic jet stream. This stalling can sharply reduce precipitation in some areas by preventing storm systems from arriving, while causing flooding in others by keeping wet weather in place.maximum-inc+3

Broader Climate Implications

The continuing loss of Arctic sea ice and changes in snow cover further amplify warming in high latitudes, reinforcing the reduction in the equator-to-pole temperature gradient. This atmosphere's reduced agility can influence not just local weather, but also disrupt the position and strength of major storm tracks and the latitude of rainfall bands, with impacts on agriculture, ecosystems, and water supplies.esd.copernicus+4

In summary, as temperature gradients between north and south shrink, the northern hemisphere's atmospheric circulation grows sluggish, causing more frequent stalling of weather patterns and altered precipitation—an increasingly well-documented effect of Arctic amplification and global climate change.nature+2

  1. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41612-025-01012-0
  2. https://www.uphere.ca/articles/weakened-jet-stream
  3. https://www.maximum-inc.com/learning-center/what-is-the-jet-stream-how-it-does-it-impact-our-weather/
  4. https://www.carbonbrief.org/jet-stream-is-climate-change-causing-more-blocking-weather-events/
  5. https://arctic-council.org/news/shifting-winds-how-a-wavier-polar-jet-stream-causes-extreme-weather-events/
  6. https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2017-65/esd-2017-65.pdf
  7. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-11/
  8. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2020GL091603
  9. https://news.mit.edu/2019/climate-change-summer-weather-stormier-yet-more-stagnant-0218
  10. https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10457304/
  11. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-62576-2
  12. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0013935122002651
  13. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/understanding-arctic-polar-vortex
  14. https://ocp.ldeo.columbia.edu/climategroup/papers/lat.pdf
  15. https://news.berkeley.edu/2013/04/02/shifting-rainfall-patterns-in-tropics/
  16. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-temperature
  17. https://science.nasa.gov/climate-change/effects/
  18. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jet_stream
  19. https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/weather-climate
  20. https://weather.com/safety/thunderstorms/news/2024-05-21-jet-stream-weather-moves-slower-summer

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